I tend to believe this more than the other polls on the subject recently. I seem to recall the likes of Ambinder breathlessly reporting that the Republicans were dead even on the Congressional ballot a number of times during 07-08, and we all know what came of that. So long as the GOP will not face up to the disastrous consequences of its policies--and so long as voters remember them--they will not wield any power.
For the record, my guess is that the GOP will pick up a few seats next year--somewhere between 5-10, mostly in the South, mostly from Blue Dogs. I'm predicting, though, that the Democrats will gain a few more Senate seats and a few governorships as well.
The Man, The Myth, The Bio
- East Bay, California, United States
- Problem: I have lots of opinions on politics and culture that I need to vent. If I do not do this I will wind up muttering to myself, and that's only like one or two steps away from being a hobo. Solution: I write two blogs. A political blog that has some evident sympathies (pro-Obama, mostly liberal though I dissent on some issues, like guns and trade) and a culture blog that does, well, cultural essays in a more long-form manner. My particular thing is taking overrated things (movies, mostly, but other things too) down a peg and putting underrated things up a peg. I'm sort of the court of last resort, and I tend to focus on more obscure cultural phenomena.