The review asks the question of whether or not BSG fans will tune in. They will, and they'll keep tuning in, the same way they tuned in during some pretty dire seasons of BSG. But are they enough to keep the show going? I found this chart which tracks the show's viewership over its entire run:
Basically, the longer the show was on, the lower the ratings were (this goes through the beginning of Season 4). The show wore poorly as it went on, though it stayed relatively stable during individual seasons. Near the end it looks like the show more or less plateaued around 1.2 million viewers, who are the diehards that will watch Caprica. I wouldn't even be surprised if a few disaffected BSG fans checked out the new series, as well as a few newbies that heard about BSG and want to see what all the fuss was about. My guess is that these folks won't stick around long if Caprica repeats BSG's mistakes, which fundamentally boiled down to poor storytelling and an unrelenting grim tone that--surprise, surprise--people got tired of at a fairly linear rate. If Caprica doesn't develop some coherent and compelling story arcs off the bat, as well as to do a better job of showing some real humanitas instead of Ron Moore's Opera of Gloom, then it will be gone soon. Time will tell.
