Yeah, ARG hasn't exactly had a stellar record this cycle, so maybe I should take this with a grain of salt. What is striking to me is that Obama is nearly even with Latinos in Texas. Latinos are one of the few remaining groups with which Clinton has any real strength. If Obama's cracked that code, then the race truly is over. It would appear that the other recent polls of the state disagree...
I do find myself wondering just why Obama is not doing so well in Ohio. He's even with Clinton in the national polls, and Ohio should be reasonably favorable ground for him...he has done quite well in the Midwest, after all, and Ohio doesn't seem to have much of a history of bitterly polarized racial politics. The numbers worry me, but there's time yet.
The Man, The Myth, The Bio
- Lev
- East Bay, California, United States
- Problem: I have lots of opinions on politics and culture that I need to vent. If I do not do this I will wind up muttering to myself, and that's only like one or two steps away from being a hobo. Solution: I write two blogs. A political blog that has some evident sympathies (pro-Obama, mostly liberal though I dissent on some issues, like guns and trade) and a culture blog that does, well, cultural essays in a more long-form manner. My particular thing is taking overrated things (movies, mostly, but other things too) down a peg and putting underrated things up a peg. I'm sort of the court of last resort, and I tend to focus on more obscure cultural phenomena.