Nate's logic is impeccable, but it presupposes that Obama will not do well in the foreign policy debate. I tend to think that he might be able to surprise a few people. Obama's been right on a lot of foreign policy issues so far, McCain's been wrong on a lot. Obama's generally had smart things to say on the subject, McCain's had a lot of gaffes on the subject. His foreign affairs/military expertise is based almost entirely on his life story, and at many times he's struck me as an ill-informed rube.
I'm not saying Nate is wrong, but I think the situation might be even worse for McCain, since the expectations are already going to be sky-high for him on this debate.
